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未来属于英文还是中文?

未来属于英文还是中文?

Is English or Mandarin the language of the future?

(Click on the above link to read the BBS News article and comments on it)

Below is my response to the above article and some comments on it . One comment says that Mandarin is too difficult to learn for it to become a world language, and I felt I had to respond.
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Mandarin Will Likely Rule the Future

未来很可能是普通话的天下

The argument that Mandarin is too hard to learn for it to become a language of the future misses the fact that children can learn any language regardless of it being difficult or not. (For children, one language is just as hard or easy as another anyways.)

The matter of the fact is that if a language becomes the first choice of a second language to learn throughout the world for whatever reason, as English is at the moment, it *will* replace English to become the future lingua franca of the world. Will parents send their children to English-as-a-second-language programs or Mandarin-as-a-second language programs? Will schools replace ESL programs with MSL programs? In other words, will Mandarin become the first choice of a second language to learn globally? I certainly would not rule out that possibility. In fact, I'd even venture to say that there is a high probability there given what we see at the moment: Mandarin as a second language teaching and learning is fastly gaining popularity in many parts of the world, and the trend shows no sign of slowing down any time soon.

So, I'd say that unless the Rise of China is for some reason stopped or slowed down dramatically (due to large scale internal social upheavals, for instance), Mandarin is going to become a formidable global competition for English sooner than we think.

Lin, Hua, University of Victoria, Canada  加拿大维多利亚大学林华
Originally posted on Language Teaching Professionals on Facebook on Feb. 24, 2012.

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对不起,上面全是英文

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回复 3# 的帖子

Well said, ssu01 !!

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我虽然分享 MrGrant 的美好愿望,但是大家都知道 Globalization 的速度有多快,能量有多大,只怕是 Globalization 的历史列车是无情的,会不以包括你我在内的任何人的意志为转移而把众多的语言碾碎在它的巨轮之下,最后的能生存下来的应该是达尔文所定义的为数不多的一些”适者“。

仅仅就目前情形来判断 (假定历史按目前的轨迹发展下去),中文应该是“适者”之一。

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同意 chinadian 和 ssu01 说法,语言仅仅是现象,它的命运取决于文化,利益,所使用民族强大与否等语言之外的因素。

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回复 9# 的帖子

羡慕您能在这个时候在北京,不冷不热的,我每次回国都只能是在酷夏。

我真诚的愿望是中国能够稳步地向前发展。当然不能不承认极端的腐败,贫富快速两级分化,严重的空气环境和食品污染(造成不孕症的原因?)等等众多的弊端将是这一发展的一些巨大的绊脚石,中国崛起是否有长久的生命力only time can tell。

中文的命运也许是由于这一生命力的前途未卜而未可知之?

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回复楼上 OMG 的帖子

短短两行字,说得句句在理,字字珠玑,怎么会属脑残之流呢?是大智若愚吧?

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引用:
原帖由 中文学校 于 2013-5-13 19:41 发表
不好意思,不知道该怎样把图片直接贴上去
没关系,图是PDF格式,可以下载。

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回复 21# 的帖子

说的真好,Bendy!!!
好强的宏观概括能力和理解力!

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